Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 77494.259429 81868.366944 86246.436434 90954.144625 95869.991544 100848.572293 106268.680870
2025-12-14 69922.847429 76551.911025 83376.642139 90918.363248 99009.134438 107418.635175 116810.534057
2025-12-21 64718.502458 72888.819286 81489.449675 91198.380378 101833.662156 113109.354065 125947.733829
2025-12-28 61509.220415 70923.097056 81016.668670 92611.726266 105530.211210 119447.297470 135539.693909
2026-01-04 58677.746065 69073.565000 80401.065051 93612.920273 108549.860617 124863.653103 143977.320673
2026-01-11 56069.037865 67255.861869 79624.369810 94248.969445 111000.885208 129521.217109 151473.913276
2026-01-18 53503.918834 65314.125553 78550.014403 94399.035700 112772.905226 133313.675690 157919.889774
2026-01-25 51276.408839 63628.846749 77648.252182 94632.936406 114542.564151 137028.404407 164225.683514
2026-02-01 49091.676704 61877.971645 76565.138036 94556.919713 115868.171245 140168.328977 169825.972564
2026-02-08 47558.262525 60820.607707 76224.687709 95287.871968 118084.873422 144306.869506 176572.928991
2026-02-15 45747.226118 59344.852357 75311.314319 95267.967999 119356.048367 147298.080736 181953.068927
2026-02-22 44772.584142 58839.346177 75520.800022 96559.422536 122166.597810 152096.611960 189479.976631
2026-03-01 43596.491430 58052.976295 75368.934258 97406.491344 124455.453731 156311.013336 196380.209286
2026-03-08 42077.571302 56782.842778 74575.778020 97427.758854 125713.226789 159278.042997 201793.911167
2026-03-15 40796.432653 55763.059033 74048.271830 97737.428700 127294.174025 162619.536770 207661.986054
2026-03-22 40163.256955 55539.575234 74490.762314 99236.074058 130333.155678 167738.870734 215716.485444
2026-03-29 39369.118181 55074.808178 74601.165497 100296.111222 132816.068648 172180.944287 222964.641846
2026-04-05 38447.080360 54408.572010 74425.460330 100969.203174 134799.187517 176005.072979 229466.974937
2026-04-12 37348.271997 53472.211437 73869.848370 101128.000951 136112.382414 178989.239585 234934.699016
2026-04-19 36344.645141 52628.656725 73404.107835 101375.458699 137518.531769 182080.588389 240541.654817
2026-04-26 35252.769426 51632.126239 72707.414038 101295.041116 138483.653245 184607.148236 245443.053317
2026-05-03 34564.963299 51159.079849 72678.172923 102068.301521 140536.638338 188505.681930 252086.221460
2026-05-10 33589.275751 50263.046956 72062.190955 102047.246397 141544.955711 191073.108613 257052.091431